EN IT

US on defense, Europe on offense: luxury leads

All 7 indices stay in buy mode, but momentum cools and the highs are near. Within equities money rotates toward US defensives and toward luxury and banks in Europe, while commodities and energy pull back. A supportive but mature picture.

US on defense, Europe on offense: luxury leads
Weekly recap · June 12, 2026

US on defense, Europe on offense: luxury leads

7 indices in buy · 11 new Buy signals · Focus on Cons. Staples (US) and Personal & Household (EU) · Volatility easing
📅 June 12, 2026 • Mixed sentiment 11 new signals · 7 indices · 21 sector ETFs
WEEKLY-REPORT
01

The week in view

All 7 of our benchmark indices remain in buy mode, but the picture is mature rather than euphoric: internal momentum has cooled almost everywhere and several markets are working just below their highs. The broad backdrop stays supportive — volatility has receded and market breadth has recovered — yet the week has a defensive flavour: within equities money has shifted toward the steadier sectors, while gold, oil and shipping rates sit in critical territory. This is rotation, not risk-off.
02

Macro regime

market context
Risk-On
Overall supportive macro: volatility has settled and bond markets are calm, the dollar is steady, but commodities and energy are pulling back sharply.
VIX
Neutral
MOVE
Favorable
DXY
Neutral
Breadth
Neutral
03

Main indices

7 Broad ETFs
US markets remain the strongest, with Russell small caps now brushing their highs and the Nasdaq still full of structure; the S&P holds but with the weakest push of the group. Europe looks more tired: Paris, Frankfurt, Milan and London keep their buy signal but with internal strength worn thin — trades to manage, not to chase.
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Buy · open
The S&P 500 has been in buy mode for 9 weeks and the weekly signal still holds, but it is the most mature read of the group: Signal Strength has fallen to 7 out of 100, a sign that internal thrust is nearly spent. Price is working a hair below record highs and two of our model's three targets have already been reached. It holds, but this is no time to chase: a trade to manage with discipline.
Signal Strength7 / 100
Invesco QQQ Trust Series I (QQQ)Buy · open
The Nasdaq 100 has been buying for 8 weeks with a medium Signal Strength of 38 out of 100: livelier than the S&P but cooling. The index keeps full structure and sits less than 4% below its highs, yet momentum is fading and the model's first target is already behind it. Tech leadership has paused: the signal holds, the thrust needs watching.
Signal Strength38 / 100
iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)Buy · open
The Russell 2000 has been buying for 9 weeks and is the closest to its highs of all, less than 1% away. Signal Strength is medium at 38 out of 100, and two of the three targets have already been hit: the weekly structure is full, the moving averages aligned. Small caps remain the most offensive face of the US market, but with two thirds of the model's path already covered, management matters more than enthusiasm.
Signal Strength38 / 100
Multi Units France Sicav (CAC)Buy · open
The CAC 40 has been buying for 9 weeks but is among the weakest internally: Signal Strength has dropped to 11 out of 100 and our model advises against fresh entries. Price is just over 1% below the highs and none of the targets has yet been touched. It is the portrait of a trade under observation: to accompany with caution, not to add to.
Signal Strength11 / 100
Amundi DAX II UCITS ETF Acc (DAX)Buy · open
The DAX has been buying for 8 weeks, with a weak Signal Strength of 11 out of 100 and a confirmation week that closed lower. Structure holds and price stays about 4% below the highs, but the picture is one of a mature advance: our model suggests managing what exists, not adding. Industrials, financials and technology account for much of the index.
Signal Strength11 / 100
Amundi FTSE MIB UCITS ETF (MIB)Buy · open
The FTSE MIB has been buying for 9 weeks, but it is the index with the most exhausted momentum: Signal Strength is at 0 out of 100 and all three of the model's targets have already been reached. Structure is still full, yet the thrust that supported it appears spent. A trade that has run to the end of its natural course: discipline points to an orderly exit, not a fresh push.
Signal Strength0 / 100
iShares Core FTSE 100 UCITS ETF (ISF)Buy · open
The FTSE 100 has been buying for 9 weeks and holds its weekly structure, but signs of fatigue are piling up: Signal Strength is low at 11 out of 100, the long-term filter is unfavourable and the daily picture is cooler, with price inside the equilibrium cloud. It is a running trade to accompany with caution: it holds, but asks for attention rather than additions.
Signal Strength11 / 100
05

Confirmed Buy signals

at the confirmation week
Five US stocks have passed the first test: the buy signal that started the week before closed its confirmation week in positive territory. For our method that detail matters, because a signal that holds its first check rests on firmer ground than one just born. The group is mixed, and that is the interesting part: two high-volatility, high-thrust names like AMC and Rivian, cruise operator Norwegian Cruise Line, but also two steadier, quieter profiles such as Danaher in healthcare and Wells Fargo among financials. From Europe, this week, no confirmations: the Continent's new signals are mostly just out of the gate and still have their first test ahead. It is worth reading the individual cards to see which of these confirmations rest on genuinely orderly structure and which live mainly on momentum — the choice, as always, stays with the reader.
US
1
AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A
Strength 87
2
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A
Strength 86
3
NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
Strength 81
4
DHR
Danaher Corporation
Strength 59
5
WFC
Wells Fargo & Co
Strength 55
EU/UK

None this week

06

Ranker rankings

Top by Signal Strength
Among the fresh opportunities two cruise names stand out, Carnival and Royal Caribbean, topping the US new-signal table with matching intensity; in Europe it is luxury that catches the eye, with Kering leading the new signals. On the already-running side, tech names like Fortinet and AMD remain very strong. It is worth opening the individual cards: that is where each signal tells its own story, with levels, timing and management discipline.
US stocksThis week's new Buy signals
1
CCL
Carnival Corporation
Strength 72
2
RCL
Royal Caribbean Group
Strength 72
3
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
Strength 50
4
BAC
Bank of America Corp
Strength 43
5
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
Strength 38
US stocksBuy signals from previous weeks
1
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
Strength 87
2
ROKU
Roku Inc
Strength 86
3
SNDK
Sandisk Corporation
Strength 87
4
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Strength 87
5
OSCR
Oscar Health, Inc. Class A
Strength 87
See all 145 →
US stocksSell signals (decline)
1
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Strength 93
2
LI
Li Auto, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
Strength 84
3
BIDU
Baidu, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
Strength 82
4
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
Strength 82
5
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
Strength 82
See all 114 →
EU-UK stocksThis week's new Buy signals
1
KER
Kering SA
Strength 75
2
MC
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE
Strength 59
3
RACE
Ferrari NV
Strength 59
4
UNI
UNIPOL ASSICURAZIONI SPA
Strength 52
5
BPE
BPER Banca S.p.A.
Strength 47
See all 6 →
EU-UK stocksBuy signals from previous weeks
1
DLY_IFX
Infineon Technologies AG
Strength 89
2
DLY_0V1L
International Petroleum Corp. (British Columbia)
Strength 87
3
BAMI
Banco BPM SpA
Strength 83
4
BC
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A.
Strength 83
5
BMPS
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A.
Strength 83
See all 58 →
EU-UK stocksSell signals (decline)
1
CPR
Davide Campari-Milano N.V.
Strength 88
2
INW
Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A.
Strength 88
3
DLY_BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
Strength 83
4
LR
Legrand SA
Strength 79
5
DSY
Dassault Systemes SE
Strength 78
See all 52 →
Methodology note — Nothing written here constitutes financial advice, a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments, or any kind of recommendation. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss; the user acts under their own responsibility. Signal Strength is an internal analytical framework used only to rank relative technical quality within the basket. © Fabio Gentili.
Share WhatsApp Telegram Gmail LinkedIn