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Alibaba stock drops 3.5% and sets a new 30-day low in the 105 area on contracting volume. Weekly technical analysis and price action of a sell signal in week 5: MACD histogram shrinking, money flow still negative.

Alibaba loses 3.5% and sets a new 30-day low on contracting volume
Ongoing decline · week 5

Alibaba loses 3.5% and sets a new 30-day low on contracting volume

October 02, 2026

Our view last week

Last week's bounce didn't hold: Alibaba slips 3.1%, and in the weekly bar sellers dominate to an extreme, with buying below 25% of volume and distribution building. Alibaba stock stays below its 50-week average, squeezed between resistance in the 110.2 area and the 7-day low in the 107.3 area. The technical analysis reads a sell signal pushing again, though on contracting volume.

This week's summary

The 107 area was not defended: Alibaba loses 3.5%, its 2nd straight weekly decline, and ends the week at a new 30-day low in the 105 area. A week ago Alibaba stock was squeezed between that support and resistance in the 110 area; now the technical analysis reads a decline that carries on with contracting volume, a MACD histogram shrinking for 7 weeks and negative money flow. Among US stocks on a sell signal, this swing trading short is up 6.5% since entry.
Ongoing decline ·5th week from start ·US stocks ·T2 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
67
in tension
Signal Strength
54
downtrend making lower lows, pace holding
Sizing
STANDARD
Ranking
#32 / 175
US stocks
Trade P&L %
+6.53%
from signal to date, no stop loss

Alibaba (BABA) weekly chart — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP

Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card→

Rank position

ranks 32nd among the 175 sell signals for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 54 out of 100.

Sector context

SectorGrowth Tech
Benchmark ETFXLK
Sector regimein strong phase
Performanceweekly +1.80% · monthly +8.83%

BABA belongs to the growth tech sector (reference ETF XLK). The sector is classified in strong phase according to our weekly reading.

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