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MP Materials drops 3.8%, prints a fresh 30-day low and slips below its 100-week moving average, in the 48 area. Technical analysis of MP Materials stock: the sell signal regains its stride, yet the price action leaves a doubt and trading stays not recommended.

MP Materials drops 3.8% and loses its 100-week average, with a fresh 30-day low
Sell signal · week 3 · New York Stock Exchange

MP Materials drops 3.8% and loses its 100-week average, with a fresh 30-day low

October 02, 2026

Our view last week

MP Materials closed the week with a 3.3% bounce, but beneath the surface the price action tells another story: sellers still lead the weekly bar and the distribution phase carries on. The sell signal that fired seven days ago has lost its push, though, with no new lows. Technical analysis of MP Materials stock counsels caution among US mining stocks: price stays below the 50-week average and the quality band flags trading as not recommended.

This week's summary

MP Materials wiped out last week's bounce: the stock fell 3.8%, printed a fresh 30-day low in the 44.5 area and now sits below its 100-week average. Yet the weekly bar closed in the upper half of its range, after 5 straight closes in the lower half. Technical analysis of MP Materials stock shows the sell signal back to making lower lows, but the price action argues for caution: among US stocks, and for swing trading, our model still rates new positions as not recommended.
Sell signal in observation ·3rd week from start ·US stocks ·T2 ·📅 Earnings · Oct 29 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
62
ordinary
Signal Strength
23
decline starting to make lower lows
Sizing
MINIMUM
Ranking
#102 / 175
US stocks sell signals
Trade P&L %
+0.61%
from signal to date, no stop loss

MP Materials weekly chart — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP

Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card→

Rank position

ranks 102nd among the 175 sell signals for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 23 out of 100.

Sector context

SectorMaterials
Benchmark ETFXLB
Sector regimeweak phase
Performanceweekly -1.89% · monthly -7.72%

MP belongs to the materials sector (reference ETF XLB). The sector is classified weak phase according to our weekly reading.

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