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Microsoft stock: +21.8% in a week, breakout above the 7-day high

Microsoft weekly technical analysis: the stock jumps 21.8% and breaks above its 7-day high, triggering a fresh buy signal. Signal strength stays medium at 54/100 — our model flags this stock as high-risk to open right now.

Microsoft stock: +21.8% in a week, breakout above the 7-day high
Microsoft, fresh buy signal
Microsoft stock: +21.8% in a week, breakout above the 7-day high
July 31, 2026
Microsoft, fresh buy signal
Our view last week
Microsoft's bounce has stalled: after last week's change of pace, the stock dropped 3.1% this week and sellers retook control, with 83% of volume on the sell side in the last session. The double bottom in the 363-367 area still holds, but money flow has collapsed to near zero and the trend is losing conviction. Our weekly technical analysis is now also watching earnings, due this very week on July 28.
This week's summary
Microsoft closes the week with a 21.8% rebound and breaks above its 7-day high: a fresh buy signal kicks in. The bounce comes off the 20-day moving average, with 87.9% of volume on the buy side behind it — a Microsoft stock technical analysis our model still reads with caution: signal strength is only medium, 54 out of 100, and the stock ranks 15th among the 16 fresh US buys. The opening stays high-risk.
Fresh BUY ·1st week from start ·US stocks ·T1 Featured ·📅 Earnings · Jul 29 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
65
ordinary
Signal Strength
54
medium
Sizing
STANDARD
Ranking
#15 / 16
New us stocks
Trade P&L %
+0.00%
from signal to date, no stop loss
Chart · Weekly — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP
Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card
Rank position

ranks 15th among the 16 fresh Longs for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 54 out of 100.

Sector context
SectorGrowth Tech
Benchmark ETFXLK
Sector regimeweak phase
Performanceweekly -0.30% · monthly -5.53%

MSFT belongs to the growth tech sector (reference ETF XLK). The sector is classified weak phase according to our weekly reading.

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