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SPY (S&P 500): the rally stalls below the record, momentum cooling

Weekly technical analysis of the SPY, the S&P 500 ETF: price nears its record but gets rejected, with buyer dominance collapsing on the daily. A buy setup up 9.39% in performance, second scale-out area cleared, Signal Strength near its lows.

SPY (S&P 500): the rally stalls below the record, momentum cooling
Rejected at the record, thrust fading
SPY (S&P 500): the rally stalls below the record, momentum cooling
July 17, 2026
Rejected at the record, thrust fading
Our view last week
The SPY, an ETF tracking the S&P 500, is trading a whisker below its own record, just 0.72% under: weekly technical analysis frames a buy up 11.11% from entry. On the daily, buyers own the tape — more than 93% of volume — and a double bottom in the 720 area restored order with a 6% rebound. The underlying drive, though, keeps draining away: Signal Strength slips to 7 out of 100. A mature uptrend, with momentum cooling.
This week's summary
The SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, approached its own record but got turned away: weekly technical analysis frames a buy up 9.39%, now more than 2% below the highs. On the daily the shift bites — buyer dominance has collapsed and sellers owned the last session — while the MACD histogram keeps sliding. The weekly structure holds, but the drive is nearly spent: a mature uptrend, one to manage with the stop.
Open BUY ·14th week from start ·US Broad indices ·T1 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
42
ordinary
Signal Strength
14
low · fading
ATH distance
2.30%
2.30%
KPI 4
0/3
Trade P&L %
+9.39%
from signal to today
Chart · Weekly — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP
Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
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