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XLK falls 3.5% in its confirmation week as the model flags an exit

XLK, the US technology sector ETF, closes its confirmation week down 3.5%: weekly technical analysis of the buy signal, with a falling ADX, MACD below its Signal line, and sellers in control of the last candle.

XLK falls 3.5% in its confirmation week as the model flags an exit
XLK ETF: bearish confirmation, exit warning

XLK falls 3.5% in its confirmation week as the model flags an exit

August 21, 2026

Our view last week

On XLK, the US technology sector ETF, a fresh buy signal has just kicked in: seven days ago the confirmation week was pointing to an exit from a decline, and now the picture flips. Price is hugging its recent highs, with three rising daily lows running from the 166 to the 185 area, but volume stays contracted and the weekly candle closes undecided. Our model flags trading as not recommended: better to wait for confirmation before chasing the breakout in the 192 area.

This week's summary

XLK, the US technology sector ETF, closed the week down 3.5% after brushing its recent highs: the weekly candle shows sellers firmly in control in the last bar and volume contracting, signs that the rally is losing steam. The buy signal that fired 7 days ago is now in its confirmation week, and a falling ADX confirms the trend is struggling to find conviction. Weekly technical analysis on an ETF worth watching closely.
Open BUY ·1st week from start ·US stocks ·T1 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
47
ordinary
Signal Strength
35
medium · weak
Sizing
REDUCED
Ranking
#130 / 167
US stocks in progress
Trade P&L %
-3.53%
from signal to date, no stop loss

Chart · Weekly — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP

Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card

Rank position

ranks 130th among the 167 Longs already running for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 35 out of 100.

Sector context

SectorETF Settoriale
Benchmark ETFXLK
Sector regimeweak phase
Performanceweekly -3.53% · monthly +1.69%

XLK belongs to the etf settoriale sector (reference ETF XLK). The sector is classified weak phase according to our weekly reading.

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