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Walmart drops 3.4% and slips back to its 100-week moving average, in the 104 area, after stalling below the 50-day average. Technical analysis of Walmart stock: money flow negative for 15 weeks, price action in distribution, a swing trading sell signal still live.

Walmart drops 3.4%: stalled below the 50-day average, it is back on the 100-week average
Sell signal, week 19

Walmart drops 3.4%: stalled below the 50-day average, it is back on the 100-week average

October 02, 2026

Our view last week

Walmart stock gains 1.2% and sellers loosen their grip: after a week with 84% of the trade on the sell side, this one closed at 63%. The price stays pinned between the 50-day moving average, in the 109.8 area, and the 20-day moving average, in the 107.9 area, with the Inversion Point just above, in the 110.6 area. In this weekly technical analysis the price action is still in distribution, money flow has been negative for 14 weeks and the short stands at +6.7% since entry.

This week's summary

Last week's recovery found no follow-through: Walmart lost 3.4% after stalling below its 50-day moving average, in the 109 area, and is back next to the 100-week average, in the 104 area. In this weekly technical analysis Walmart stock shows money flow negative for 15 weeks, now at its lowest reading in 4, and price action in a distribution phase. The one counterweight is the MACD histogram, rising for 5 weeks. Among US stocks on a sell signal, this short stands at +9.9% since entry.
Ongoing decline ·19th week from start ·US stocks ·T2 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
69
in tension
Signal Strength
47
decline starting to make lower lows
Sizing
REDUCED
Ranking
#48 / 175
US stocks
Trade P&L %
+9.93%
from signal to date, no stop loss

Walmart (WMT) weekly chart — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP

Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card→

Rank position

ranks 48th among the 175 sell signals for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 47 out of 100.

Sector context

SectorConsumer Discretionary
Benchmark ETFXLY
Sector regimeweak phase
Performanceweekly -0.47% · monthly -4.20%

WMT belongs to the consumer discretionary sector (reference ETF XLY). The sector is classified weak phase according to our weekly reading.

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