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Carnival stock jumps 15.8% in a week and a new buy signal fires. Technical analysis: the bounce starts at the 50-day average, but the weekly MACD is still below its Signal line and the 7-day high, in the 25.9 area, is yet to be cleared.

Carnival jumps 15.8%: a new Buy signal, with the 50-week average still overhead
Fresh buy · US stocks · week 1

Carnival jumps 15.8%: a new Buy signal, with the 50-week average still overhead

October 02, 2026

Our view last week

After 6 straight losing weeks, Carnival closed up 1.9% and the sellers loosened their grip: last week they held 97% of volume, now 58%. The bounce stalled below the 20-day moving average, in the 23 area, though, and the MACD stays below its Signal line. The short on Carnival stock is up 13.5% since entry, and earnings on September 29, due in the week ahead, can move the price either way: a swing trading case to watch closely, and a price action test worth following.

This week's summary

A 15.8% jump in one week turns the Carnival picture around: a week ago it was still a short in profit, now a new Buy signal has fired. The bounce started at the 50-day moving average, in the 25 area, with a clean rebound. Carnival stock is still below its 50-week average, though, with the weekly MACD under its Signal line and money flow negative: one of the US stocks with a fresh buy signal, a wide and volatile swing trading case to follow with discipline.
Fresh BUY ·1st week from start ·US stocks ·T1 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
43
ordinary
Signal Strength
72
high · wide & volatile
Sizing
FULL
Ranking
#4 / 6
New us stocks
Trade P&L %
+0.00%
from signal to date, no stop loss

Carnival (CCL) weekly chart — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP

Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card→

Rank position

ranks 4th among the 6 fresh Longs for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 72 out of 100.

Sector context

SectorConsumer Discretionary
Benchmark ETFXLY
Sector regimeweak phase
Performanceweekly -0.47% · monthly -4.20%

CCL belongs to the consumer discretionary sector (reference ETF XLY). The sector is classified weak phase according to our weekly reading.

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