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XLF, the US financial sector ETF, drops 2.5% and closes below its 50-week average, a fourth straight weekly decline. XLF technical analysis: money flow turns negative after 13 weeks and price action marks a fresh 30-day low, with the sell signal still open.

XLF drops 2.5% and slips below its 50-week average as money flow turns negative
Sell signal, week 3 · US financials ETF

XLF drops 2.5% and slips below its 50-week average as money flow turns negative

October 02, 2026

Our view last week

The weekly MACD on XLF, the US financial sector ETF, has dropped below its signal line for the first time in 21 weeks, and the week closes at -1.8%, a third straight decline. The sell signal opened seven days ago holds its direction, with price action showing sellers still ahead in the weekly bar. XLF technical analysis still finds an ETF 17.7% above its 200-week average, though: the quality band flags trading as not recommended.

This week's summary

XLF, the US financial sector ETF, lost 2.5% and closed below its 50-week average, setting a fresh 30-day low. A week ago the weekly MACD had dropped under its signal line; now money flow has turned negative too, after 13 weeks above zero. XLF technical analysis shows a decline holding its pace, yet the daily RSI at 26 is oversold and the quality band flags trading as not recommended: for swing trading, a trade setup to follow with patience.
Sell signal in observation ·3rd week from start ·US stocks ·T2 ★ See Gold version →
IQS Phase
81
in tension / maturity
Signal Strength
88
downtrend making lower lows, pace holding
Sizing
STANDARD
Ranking
#10 / 175
US stocks sell signals
Trade P&L %
+4.24%
from signal to date, no stop loss

Financials US (XLF) weekly chart — EMA50 · MACD · VWAP

Weekly chart · EMA50 · MACD · VWAP · Source: TradingView
How to read this pageA visual guide to the post, card by card→

Rank position

ranks 10th among the 175 sell signals for US stocks in our ranking, with a signal strength of 88 out of 100.

Sector context

SectorETF Settoriale
Benchmark ETFXLF
Sector regimeweak phase
Performanceweekly -2.46% · monthly -7.23%

XLF belongs to the etf settoriale sector (reference ETF XLF). The sector is classified weak phase according to our weekly reading.

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